Черный лебедь. Под знаком непредсказуемости - Талеб Нассим Николас (серии книг читать онлайн бесплатно полностью .TXT) 📗
Tversky, A., and D. J. Koehler, 1994, „Support Theory: A Nonextensional Representation of Subjective Probability.“ Psychological Review 101: 547»5б7.
Tyszka, Т., and P. Zielonka, 2002, «Expert Judgments: Financial Analysts Versus Weather Forecasters.» Journal of Psychology and Financial Markets 3(3): 152–160.
Uglow, Jenny, 2003, The Lunar Men: Five Friends Whose Curiosity Changed the World. New York: Farrar, Straus & Giroux.
Vale, Nilton Bezerra do, Jose Delfino, and Lucio Flavio Bezerra do Vale, 2005, «Serendipity in Medicine and Anesthesiology.» Revista Brasileira de Anestesiologia 55(2): 224–249.
van Tongeren, Paul, 2002, «Nietzsche's Greek Measure.» Journal of Nietzsche Studies 24: 5.
Vandenbroucke, J. P., 1996, «Evidence-Based Medicine and 'Medicine d'Observation',» Journal of Clinical Epidemiology 49(12): 1335–1338.
Varela, Francisco J., 1988, Invitation aux sciences cognitives. Paris: Champs Flammarion.
Varian, Hal R., 1989, «Differences of Opinion in Financial Markets.» In Courtenay C. Stone, ed., Financial Risk: Theory Evidence and Implications: Proceedings of the Eleventh Annual Economic Policy Conference of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. Boston: Kitiwer Academic Publishers.
VeHEL, Jacques Levy, and Christian Walter, 2002, Les marches fractals: Efficience, ruptures, et tendances sur les marches financiers. Paris: PUF.
Veyne, Paul, 1971, Comment on ecrit Vhistoire. Paris: Editions du Seuil.
-, 2005, L'Empire greco-romain. Paris: Editions du Seuil.
Vogelstein, Bert, David Lane, and Arnold J. Levine, 2000, «Surfing the P53 Network.» Nature 408: 307–310.
Voit, Johannes, 2001, The Statistical Mechanics of Financial Markets. Heidelberg: Springer.
von Mises, R., 1928, Wahrscheinlichkeit, Statistik und Wahrheit. Berlin: Springer. Translated and reprinted as Probability, Statistics, and Truth. New York: Dover, 1957.
von Plato, Jan, 1994, Creating Modern Probability. Cambridge-Cambridge University Press.
von Winterfeldt, D., and W. Edwards, 1986, Decision Analysis and Behavioral Research. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Wagenaar, Willern, and Gideon B. Keren, 1985, «Calibration of Probability Assessments by Professional Blackjack Dealers, Statistical Experts, and Lay People.» Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes 36: 406–416.
-, 1986, «Does the Expert Know? The Reliability of Predictions and Confidence Ratings of Experts.» In Erik Hollnagel, Giuseppe Mancini, and David D. Woods, Intelligent Design Support in Process Environments. Berlin: Springer.
Waller, John, 2002, Fabulous Science: Fact and Fiction in the History of Scientific Discovery. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
Wallerstein, Immanuel, 1999, «Braudel and Interscience: A Preacher to Empty Pews?» Paper presented at the 5th Journees Braudeliennes, Binghamton University, Binghamton, N.Y.
Wallsten, T. S., D. V. Budescu, I. Erev, and A. Diederich, 1997, «Evaluating and Combining Subjective Probability Estimates.» Journal of Behavioral Decision Making 10: 243–268.
Wason, P. C, i960, «On the Failure to Eliminate Hypotheses in a Conceptual Task.» Quarterly Journal of Experimental Psychology 12:129–140.
Watts, D. J., 2003, Six Degrees: The Science of a Connected Age. New York: W. W. Norton and Company.
Watts, D. J., and S. H. Strogatz, 1998, «Collective Dynamics of 'Small-world' Networks.» Nature 393: 440–442.
Watts, Duncan, 2002, «A Simple Model of Global Cascades on Random Networks.» Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 99(9): 5766–5771.
Wegner, Daniel M., 2002, The Illusion of Conscious Will. Cambridge, Mass.: The MIT Press.
Weinberg, Steven, 2001, «Facing Up: Science and Its Cultural Adversaries.» Working Paper, Harvard University.
Weintraub, Roy E., 2002, How Economics Became a Mathematical Science, Durham, N.C.: Duke University Press.
Wells, G. L., and Harvey, J. H., 1977, «Do People Use Consensus Information in Making Causal Attributions?» Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 35: 279–293.
Weron, R., 2001, «Levy-Stable Distributions Revisited: Tail Index > 2 Does Not Exclude the Levy-Stable Regime.» International Journal of Modern Physics 12(2): 209–223.
Wheatcroft, Andrew, 2003, Infidels: A History of Conflict Between Christendom and Islam. New York: Random House.
White, John, 1982, Rejection. Reading, Mass.: Addison-Wesley.
Whitehead, Alfred North, 1925, Science and the Modern World. New York: The Free Press.
Williams, Mark A., Simon A. Moss, John L. Bradshaw, and Nicole J. Rinehart, 2002, «Brief Report: Random Number Generation in Autism.» Journal of Autism and Developmental Disorders 32(1):43–47.
Williams, Robert J., and Dennis Connolly, 2006, «Does Learning About the Mathematics of Gambling Change Gambling Behavior?» Psychology of Addictive Behaviors 20(1): 62–68.
Willinger, W., D. Alderson, J. C. Doyle, and L. Li, 2004, «A Pragmatic Approach to Dealing with High Variability Measurements.» Proceedings of the ACM SIGCOMM Internet Measurement Conference, Taormina, Sicily, October 25–27, 2004.
Wilson, Edward O., 2000, Sociobiology: The New Synthesis. Cambridge, Mass.: Harvard University Press.
-, 2002, The Future of Life. New York: Knopf.
Wilson, T. D., J. Meyers, and D. Gilbert, 2001, «Lessons from the Past: Do People Learn from Experience That Emotional Reactions Are Short Lived?» Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin 29:1421–1432.
Wilson, Т. D., D. Т. Gilbert, and D. B. Centerbar, 2003, «Making Sense: The Causes of Emotional Evanescence.» In I. Brocas and J. Carillo, eds., 2003.
Wilson, Т. D., D. B. Centerbar, D. A. Kermer, and D. Т. Gilbert, 2005, «The Pleasures of Uncertainty: Prolonging Positive Moods in Ways People Do Not Anticipate.» Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 88(1): 5–21.
Wilson, Timothy D., 2002, Strangers to Ourselves: Discovering the Adaptive Unconscious. Cambridge, Mass.: The Belknap Press of Harvard University.
Winston, Robert, 2002, Human Instinct: How Our Primeval Impulses Shape Our Lives. London: Bantam Press.
Wolford, George, Michael B. Miller, and Michael Gazzaniga, 2000, «The Left Hemisphere's Role in Hypothesis Formation.» Journal of Neuroscience 20:1–4.
Wood, Michael, 2003, The Road to Delphi. New York: Farrar, Straus & Giroux.
Wrangham, R., 1999, «Is Military Incompetence Adaptive?» Evolution and Human Behavior 20: 3–12.
Yates, J. E, 1990, Judgment and Decision Making. Englewood Cliffs, N.J.: Prentice-Hall.
Yates, J. E, J. Lee, and
